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it would of been much nicer on the ear to say, hey charlie, bassbox pro is a rough guide, dont take it as gospel, if you want a hand, iv got some experience, i may be able to help you...
Is this one of those "onion things"?
I haven't worked with bassbox pro specifically, but I can assure you these programs are accurate. The problem is the "generic" specifications of the manufacturer.
Fs is the frequency at which the cone resonance starts to become an inhibitor to motor. A larger cone diameter will naturally have more mass than its smaller sibling (all else being equal) and therefore its resonate frequency will be lower. You could increase the mass with "doping" etc and therefore lower the FS. There is another way (OK yes there are several but they all use the same mechanism)
This is where bassbox pro etc start to shine. How is it that it predicted a lower frequency response than FS? Well you can change the FS with "loading", in this case
air. So the box is designed to support (load) your driver for lower bandwidth extension. Sneaky eh? This is the PRIMARY function of an enclosure, to EXTEND the usable lower bandwidth. Now there is no such thing as a free lunch, so the penalty is a steeper slope (higher order), in fact the more you extend it, the higher the required order.
So is bassbox pro right? Absolutely
IF the data is correct.How low do you wish to go?
You could confuse everybody and play up to the FS.